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False Consensus Effect

People overestimate how much other people agree with them

The false consensus effect, also known as consensus bias, is a pervasive cognitive bias that causes people to “see their own behavioral choices and judgments as relatively common and appropriate to existing circumstances”.



For example, people may believe that more of their peers drink alcohol or smoke cigarettes than actually do. This can lead to a false sense of consensus about risky behaviors, which may in turn lead people to engage in those behaviors themselves.